TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1fb…90c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
213
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Stocks, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.93
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.55
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.25
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$44.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.56
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.83
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$310.53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$380.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$148.12
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+142.7%+$274.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.6
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.6
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$263.37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,673Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$899.01
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.67
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,782Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$5,442.92
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$543.15
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$71.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.6
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$143.66
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$191.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.6
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49%+$78.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$168.43
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$119.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$135.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$26.76
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$46.35
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.76
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100.1%+$24.02
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+68.8%+$26.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$25.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.61
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+203%+$30.45
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+105%+$26.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+197.3%+$61.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.21
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$150.01
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Will Benin vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26%+$6.51
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.08
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34
BNP Paribas Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
BNP Paribas Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
BNP Paribas Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+151.6%+$34.87
BNP Paribas Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.58
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+57.6%+$11.52
Rio Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$91.98
Hobart International, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$34.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$33.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+80.3%+$93.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.27
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.2
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$1,163.72
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.05
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.87
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$165.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+113.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.21
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+80.2%+$116.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Will Astralis win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Arouca vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.8%+$58.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+624.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$323.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$73.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.