Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a646c55dd55474970058582a5a2898070c8e34a72bb8564a0b89cd5db4dffe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83c4…d55ebacked No | 0c | 63,884$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 0c | 51,096$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.35 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 0c | 25,360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1def…f7bfbacked No | 0c | 22,601$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2963…046bbacked No | 0c | 20,248$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked No | 1c | 18,793$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…d4ecbacked No | 0c | 17,132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed No | 0c | 16,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…dc79backed No | 0c | 15,030$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…f31ebacked Yes | 38c | 14,654$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,085.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked No | 1c | 13,932$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 26c | 12,830$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.05 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd1…ea75backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…bf28backed No | 62c | 10,787$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,689.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…5744backed No | 0c | 10,627$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…a745backed No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…e09bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…b1b3backed No | 0c | 6,925$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…804ebacked No | 4c | 6,167$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…248abacked No | 1c | 5,839$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 70c | 5,510$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…a249backed No | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 4c | 4,450$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Yes | 72c | 4,050$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…cfc7backed No | 62c | 3,867$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb60…a39fbacked Yes | 42c | 3,553$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 50c | 3,160$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6341backed No | 0c | 2,666$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…4dbebacked No | 10c | 2,549$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,465$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.81 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 18c | 2,343$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.61 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 14c | 2,069$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.46 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked No | 7c | 1,779$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ece3backed No | 3c | 1,620$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…397ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,487$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…dc98backed No | 53c | 1,306$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…3feabacked Yes | 77c | 1,303$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 35c | 1,239$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.35 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…68dbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,114$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 29c | 1,113$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.45 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed No | 20c | 1,051$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 54c | 1,033$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.39 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 40c | 1,031$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,008$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 44c | 976.68$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.63 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…1910backed Yes | 32c | 974.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 960.62$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.33 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked No | 59c | 960.17$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 35c | 943.17$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 941.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 25c | 929$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…591bbacked No | 46c | 898.62$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…2bebbacked No | 16c | 725.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…4af1backed No | 63c | 700.6$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe421…bf1ebacked Yes | 43c | 698.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…136abacked Yes | 34c | 668.04$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed Yes | 20c | 667.46$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.01 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…22e1backed Yes | 75c | 603.86$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 18c | 599.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.7 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed No | 18c | 553.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 42c | 552$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.18 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f43dbacked No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…86b3backed Yes | 79c | 498.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…1320backed No | 73c | 495.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 21c | 486.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.03 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed No | 53c | 470.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +211.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…5078backed Yes | 43c | 461.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 59c | 460.87$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…798bbacked No | 40c | 460$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 449.22$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…9478backed Yes | 69c | 431.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…bc0bbacked No | 40c | 427$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…f3babacked Yes | 26c | 422.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a24abacked No | 40c | 417$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 76c | 399.57$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 34c | 388.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…5358backed No | 40c | 385$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed No | 71c | 377.49$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…52cabacked No | 40c | 362$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…74e2backed No | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…ea2abacked Yes | 28c | 359.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…5b1ebacked No | 40c | 357$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked No | 73c | 349.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…69d2backed No | 40c | 345$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 46c | 333.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…aa4bbacked Yes | 31c | 324.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 56c | 319.9$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…74fdbacked Yes | 32c | 310.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 55c | 301.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…b3fcbacked No | 20c | 295.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…fc7bbacked Yes | 60c | 292$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed No | 59c | 289.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…1a04backed No | 8c | 278.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…ebf7backed Yes | 40c | 277.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Yes | 75c | 276.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 64c | 275$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.39 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…a471backed Yes | 60c | 275$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.