TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59db…1d13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Stocks, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 64 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.99
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$939.68
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,664.69
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,216.91
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$120.15
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+41.8%+$59
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$143.51
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.5%+$77
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$287.72
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.9%+$934.94
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$167
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$440.66
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+82.4%+$542
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$65
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$210.3
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$46.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$91.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$40.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$2,648.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,667Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$1,082.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+710.5%+$1,402.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.37
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$952.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$272.49
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.2%+$420.15
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+255.9%+$71.88
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.6%+$185.66
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+77.5%+$130.95
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$755.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$351.31
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$318
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+32.5%+$110.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$113.4
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,831.46
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$9.4
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.55
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.4%+$62.5
Will XRP reach $3.50 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$74.4
Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$23.91
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+89%+$50.01
Will XRP reach $3.20 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$27.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.33per pick60cpaid+56.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Stocks — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$944
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$72
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$70.4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$89
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$25.77
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36.5%+$107
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.99
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+43.6%+$47.9
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will Google reach $335 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$36.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35%+$84.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$650.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$87.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$215
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+62.6%+$77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$539.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.