Stocks · resolved market
Will Google reach $335 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7450a0b544bf7bc0dec7e1996bc198facef66accfe3e0b0e24017f1e8640b08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bde…33d3backed Yes | 32c | 3,561$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 21c | 2,176$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.61 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 74c | 1,767$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.36 | 1,106 | 43.9%486 W · 620 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…2132backed Yes | 41c | 1,500$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 42c | 1,382$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 926.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 150 | 5.3%8 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…c37ebacked No | 52c | 924.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 75c | 901.8$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.66 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 25c | 882.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked Yes | 21c | 870$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 840.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…05f6backed Yes | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 8c | 796.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 11c | 754$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…4535backed Yes | 9c | 750$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…7e10backed Yes | 4c | 688$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Yes | 26c | 607.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…2a19backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…f119backed Yes | 6c | 539$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…016abacked Yes | 5c | 450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 7c | 373.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…732dbacked Yes | 5c | 346.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 10c | 316.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 34c | 250.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 8c | 240.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…7a27backed Yes | 65c | 183.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 20c | 166.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…dad0backed No | 30c | 130.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…643abacked Yes | 29c | 122.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 17c | 120.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 117.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 293 | 23.2%68 W · 225 L | -31.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…91fcbacked Yes | 17c | 115.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 59c | 112.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 60cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed No | 62c | 108$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…79e2backed No | 34c | 83.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 35c | 69.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 67c | 62.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…5a69backed No | 32c | 47.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 37c | 45.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…fef0backed Yes | 36c | 41.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…056ebacked No | 52c | 38.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 58c | 27.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google reach $335 in November?this page
- Will Google dip to $175 in November?No won
- Will Google dip to $270 in November?No won
- Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?No won
- Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?No won
- Will Google reach $290 in November?Yes won
- Will Google reach $300 in November?Yes won
- Will Google reach $315 in November?Yes won
- Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?No won
- Will Google reach $355 in November?No won
- Will Google reach $380 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.