Stocks · resolved market
Will Google reach $300 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8086914bf5048d248b8aa05791b4d3c0b271e9c321d48e8c27eba25ba1210f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 9,044$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 10c | 7,555$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.21 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,122$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 77c | 641.65$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 36c | 603.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 42c | 603.46$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 36c | 564.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 43c | 494.34$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…64cabacked Yes | 44c | 452.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Yes | 36c | 445.52$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.44 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +159%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked No | 33c | 392.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ac…90fbbacked Yes | 53c | 356.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 51c | 323.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…31a4backed No | 50c | 303.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…0a2bbacked Yes | 52c | 302.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 52c | 270.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 238.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 230.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9585…61d9backed Yes | 76c | 220$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Yes | 63c | 216$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 10c | 213.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 293 | 23.2%68 W · 225 L | -31.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…686dbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 184.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -26.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…d7b2backed No | 59c | 180.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 31c | 171.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 61c | 155.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…c338backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3c45backed Yes | 41c | 112.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b9debacked No | 70c | 101$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cad…d35cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 35c | 99.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked No | 43c | 87.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd5…0cbdbacked Yes | 66c | 84.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 53c | 59.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…e366backed Yes | 68c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 50.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 71c | 50.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 75cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…f16abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…79e2backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…3ad5backed No | 58c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…86a3backed Yes | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…9f53backed Yes | 39c | 26.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e412backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…83e3backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +240.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…478ebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google reach $300 in November?this page
- Will Google dip to $175 in November?No won
- Will Google dip to $270 in November?No won
- Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?No won
- Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?No won
- Will Google reach $290 in November?Yes won
- Will Google reach $315 in November?Yes won
- Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?No won
- Will Google reach $335 in November?No won
- Will Google reach $355 in November?No won
- Will Google reach $380 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.