TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8ee…5c69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
443
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT17754.8%97 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$78.53
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$69
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$103.42
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$149.7
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.95
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+64%+$49.58
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$71.02
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$7.83
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$120.86
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+57%+$85.69
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$30.19
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$56.47
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$188.93
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.18
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$23.99
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$46.94
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+84%+$24.2
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$10.09
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$73.35
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$361.58
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.15
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST14137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.48
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.85
Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.87
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.58
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.88
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.84
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.67
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.4%+$11.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST6114.8%9 W · 52 L-12.0wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Murray State Racers vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rice Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$40.87
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Rider Broncs vs. Siena Saintsbacked Rider Broncs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.38
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.35
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.84
Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Wichita State Shockers vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawksbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Lindenwood Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.06
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Boise State Broncos vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Pacific Tigers vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.21
Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40.63
Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Montana Grizzlies vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$7.83
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Hampton Pirates vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danesbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST5131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.41
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.65
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.24
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99.12
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.7
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.5%+$10.88
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+778.2%+$531.68
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36.97
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80.76
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.77
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+228%+$30.48
Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+52.4%+$41.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google reach $300 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.