NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5e51bb81aa30cbe3b598d618a62bbb32f8a79735a35ad0aa51582f074be5d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,821 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Capitals | 40c | 286,687$113,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,981.83 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche | 60c | 174,870$105,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,685.34 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 60c | 73,911$44,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,575.38 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Avalanche | 61c | 65,000$39,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,600 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Capitals | 48c | 31,333$14,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,903.04 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 60c | 20,965$12,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,355.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Capitals | 41c | 20,466$8,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.45 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 39c | 18,272$7,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,130.07 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 39c | 10,256$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Avalanche | 43c | 10,096$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.3 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Avalanche | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Avalanche | 60c | 8,629$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.84 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Capitals | 10c | 8,212$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.72 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 38c | 7,604$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.48 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 40c | 7,000$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.91 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Capitals | 39c | 6,613$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.93 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 39c | 6,178$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.87 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 60c | 5,297$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.8 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Capitals | 39c | 5,008$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 52c | 4,915$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.07 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…785ebacked Capitals | 39c | 4,872$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Avalanche | 59c | 4,690$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.72 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Capitals | 41c | 4,592$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 53c | 4,468$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 61c | 4,237$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.41 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 56c | 4,094$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.52 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…cd24backed Avalanche | 61c | 3,800$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Avalanche | 59c | 3,365$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.02 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 61c | 3,277$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.05 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 62c | 3,253$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.23 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 39c | 3,220$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.7 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 41c | 3,219$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…87edbacked Avalanche | 61c | 3,201$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 63c | 3,043$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Capitals | 41c | 2,994$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Capitals | 39c | 2,955$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,826$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Capitals | 60c | 2,797$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,673$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 52c | 2,533$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Capitals | 54c | 2,265$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.88 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 40c | 2,222$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,195$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.05 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 48c | 2,167$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Avalanche | 61c | 2,164$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.93 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…36a0backed Capitals | 39c | 2,129$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Capitals | 1c | 2,093$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,073$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.09 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 2,063$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 2,061$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.9 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 39c | 2,060$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,041$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Capitals | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Capitals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,923$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.42 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Capitals | 38c | 1,912$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.45 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,834$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.79 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Capitals | 41c | 1,690$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.94 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed Capitals | 39c | 1,623$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 41c | 1,574$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.13 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Capitals | 39c | 1,540$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Capitals | 40c | 1,420$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.52 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…1c59backed Avalanche | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 34c | 1,350$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.09 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Capitals | 41c | 1,250$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Avalanche | 69c | 1,212$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.09 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,200$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Avalanche | 49c | 1,178$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.58 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,101$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.16 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Capitals | 2c | 1,027$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…59e7backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Capitals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Capitals | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…9126backed Capitals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Capitals | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Avalanche | 34c | 984.52$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.52 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Avalanche | 42c | 948.82$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Capitals | 39c | 939.7$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Avalanche | 45c | 899.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Avalanche | 56c | 888.96$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.14 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Capitals | 39c | 868.53$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.73 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Avalanche | 58c | 857.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Avalanche | 51c | 836.89$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.48 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 62c | 835.24$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche | 60c | 830.54$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Avalanche | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Capitals | 43c | 740.67$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Avalanche | 47c | 725.14$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.61 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Capitals | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Capitalsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.