NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74db56307602098e480faec036b8bae883f7e70181bdf4f622c8bcf426d1cb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 574,711$263,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,332.6 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 54c | 200,000$108,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,000 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 54c | 125,000$67,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,500 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 112,110$60,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,280.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 54c | 59,292$32,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,274.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 55c | 49,778$27,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.96 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 46c | 20,279$9,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,227.43 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 55c | 13,978$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,290.08 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Under | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Under | 56c | 6,800$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…03b6backed Over | 44c | 6,800$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 3,675$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 3,611$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.1 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 1,582$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.68 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 46c | 1,545$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.08 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 57c | 1,120$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,101$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Under | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 899.97$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.98 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 56c | 885.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.43 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Over | 38c | 748.65$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 621.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 23c | 600.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 56c | 551.61$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.61 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 55c | 536$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under | 55c | 516$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 57c | 446$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 333.84$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 45c | 319$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 56c | 312.77$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 54c | 303.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 45c | 290.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 55c | 280.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 55c | 263.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 55c | 258.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 248.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 240.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 55c | 235.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 55c | 229.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 60c | 222.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 39c | 171.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 55c | 170.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 56c | 170.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 45c | 168.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Under | 69c | 166.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 62c | 161.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 56c | 137$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 56c | 137$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 130.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 56c | 124.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 55c | 121.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under | 55c | 117.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Under | 55c | 115.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 54c | 110.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 69c | 86.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 31c | 83.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 81.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…9c94backed Over | 34c | 68.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…a140backed Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 56c | 60.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 45c | 58.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d1…6fc8backed Under | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Under | 55c | 53.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 55c | 46.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…b6a9backed Over | 43c | 46.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under | 65c | 45.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. CapitalsAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.