TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb333…e295

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$70.87
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75%+$9.75
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.78
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+149%+$19.37
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$31.24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$16.93
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.15
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$8.83
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$23.96
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.21
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.33
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$3.66
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$49.42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+749.7%+$232.41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+295.5%+$91.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$58.59
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+598.9%+$219.01
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.81
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Nick Albares be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.21
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$39
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$10.87
Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Will Everton Blair Jr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$30.92
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.47
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.79
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.91
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.14
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.79
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.7
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$5.52
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$30.75
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.67
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.87
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.67
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.85
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.78
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.84
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$6.25
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.55
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.86
Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.48
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+284.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$31.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.