TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$894,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$903,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $894,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c403,325$205,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197,477.9620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under51c293,602$149,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,974.331,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c217,707$108,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,141.51,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over49c149,528$73,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,234.9240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over47c70,185$32,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,988.85052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.9624349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over47c49,249$23,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,146.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c40,842$20,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,421.0636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c35,123$17,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,469.931,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over49c27,410$13,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,4316147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c25,100$12,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,279.8759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c22,711$11,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,33751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Over49c21,722$10,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,643.783951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over50c20,000$9,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9303339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Over49c19,740$9,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,672.72853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c16,850$7,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,549.662,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c14,963$7,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,332.0240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over49c14,925$7,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,313.4317057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over48c12,846$6,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,166.0718641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over49c9,964$4,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,882.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over49c9,900$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85110146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c9,700$5,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.2137754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over49c8,815$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.54957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c8,123$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.741,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c8,080$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92012838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9208845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.9926058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c6,675$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.9385250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.9933151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under69c6,099$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.031258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c4,663$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.8579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c4,000$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under48c3,279$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.0812152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4706656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c3,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c2,760$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over51c2,069$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.321,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.8950251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under52c1,926$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.4614650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over43c1,909$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.2214140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under50c1,879$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.573447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c1,709$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over40c1,624$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.12,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under51c1,611$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.167454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over49c1,610$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.743850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,608$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.011,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under48c1,513$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.766256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,220$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c999$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.4961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under52c974.35$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9613856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c935.27$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.582,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over49c912.46$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.113930.8%12 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Under50c878.82$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.412161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c804.08$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over47c749.98$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9916546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…426abacked Under52c742.98$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.815858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd044…0abdbacked Under48c490$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.777745.5%35 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7728753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under52c451.92$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9212544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over26c422.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3724946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1968752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Over49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Over48c392.25$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5317343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over49c390$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.117042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over43c386.96$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.371,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under53c377.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.453655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Under52c372.9$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.944858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c368$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.321,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under51c367.13$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.317950.6%40 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c365.61$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1533450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over48c357.58$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6830348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over49c345.92$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.58749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Under50c345.79$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.553636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c344$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.331,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over52c312$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5833941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df1…5de0backed Under50c307$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…5aa4backed Over51c307$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Over47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.025850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under48c270.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.831,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under51c266$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under51c253.05$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7418551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over49c244.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8211250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d4…68ecbacked Under52c231.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under52c225.19$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4213449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c218$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8934752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over49c216.49$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.826341.3%26 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed7a…9e1ebacked Under50c215$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc335…7041backed Over50c213.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under52c211.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4449053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.