TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe393…f016

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
350
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT14059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+227.6%+$623.93
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$1,320.88
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,609Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$1,842.83
Will Mikel Brown Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.86
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.83
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$174.69
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+152%+$663.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$2,060
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$131.99
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$620
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$85.43
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$262.48
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,213
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.25
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.78
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.2
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104%+$203.86
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.5
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+50%+$123.34
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$33.57
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$53.88
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$20.37
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$169.99
Will there be 3+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Jordan Walker hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+412.2%+$131.5
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+754.7%+$176.6
Will 14+ Home Runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.61
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$88.2
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Jordan Walker advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Junior Caminero advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will Ben Rice advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Ben Rice advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bryce Harper advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jac Caglianone advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Junior Caminero advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Willson Contreras advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Jordan Walker advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.49
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$23.72
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.28
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,060
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,750
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.33
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$624
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$92.37
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$788.43
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$154.96
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,101.75
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,290
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$768.59
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,801.98
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.33
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.33
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$495.63
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$920
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+581.2%+$2,350.22
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.68
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.79
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.12
Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Ryan Gravenberch score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Will Takefusa Kubo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$80.42
Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$184
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.49
Will Thiago Almada be in Argentina's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Keito Nakamura score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.46
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.33
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.2%+$26.52
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$48.6
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$27.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.