NBA · resolved market
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79285b82cd5f64c04826cde68b1d90d781c69e26fbbd6dc76db61c7f6cf7f478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 39c | 5,225$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 72c | 3,587$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Yes | 61c | 3,357$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.88 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Yes | 61c | 3,208$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 31c | 2,730$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.38 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…36d5backed No | 41c | 2,401$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 58c | 2,384$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.77 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 62c | 1,191$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 23c | 1,148$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked No | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 61c | 852.02$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked Yes | 65c | 646.16$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…4a06backed Yes | 62c | 529.49$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 36c | 458.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.8 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 46c | 438.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 52c | 411.64$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.82 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked No | 45c | 401$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 74c | 368.06$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 22c | 366.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 59c | 339$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 34c | 329.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 59c | 320$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 39c | 312.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…9e91backed Yes | 61c | 308.45$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 290.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 71c | 285$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 260.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 45c | 255$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…4048backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 27c | 238$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 33c | 234.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 34c | 220.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 46c | 219$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 216.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…9afdbacked Yes | 67c | 215$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 43c | 209.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 25c | 209$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 56c | 206.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 79c | 204$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 71c | 193$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 177.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 56c | 175.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 170.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…f30dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Yes | 64c | 157.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 15c | 157$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 77c | 142.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 20c | 132.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 38c | 131.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 37c | 127.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 9c | 122.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 47c | 119.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 65c | 114.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 29c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…160cbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…9decbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 53c | 98.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…cdc7backed No | 44c | 93.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 71c | 89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 28c | 86.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…b327backed No | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 51c | 79.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…e68cbacked Yes | 76c | 70.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed No | 41c | 65.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…ed8dbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 29c | 56.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 44c | 55.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…7aefbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…6e4fbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…ddbcbacked No | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…cd44backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 46c | 44.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 60c | 43.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 45c | 43.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…2838backed No | 24c | 41.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 61c | 36.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 69c | 35.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 38c | 35.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed Yes | 68c | 34.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…1085backed No | 32c | 34.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 34.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?this page
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Hannes Steinbach be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Keaton Wagler be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Kingston Flemings be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will LaBaron Philon be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.