TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbb6…9dec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,666
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$1,400.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$101.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$139.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$189.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+300%+$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+82.6%+$41.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$1,110
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$224.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$26.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+43.4%+$43.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.