TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Kings, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,783,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,728,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,783,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Kings22c244,417$54,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,703.357745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Clippers78c215,973$168,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,513.969263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers78c172,203$135,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,102.6848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings22c100,724$22,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,027.6551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kings1c60,076$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9714434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x654d…8e3ebacked Kings22c60,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,200825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Kings22c54,526$11,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,995.7620551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Clippers77c50,000$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.9912147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Kings23c49,929$11,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,483.7325248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers77c49,523$38,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,390.371,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings21c47,492$10,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,087.7547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Kings22c40,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.987941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Clippers78c40,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.9719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings23c34,026$7,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,667.182,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings12c29,286$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4001,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Kings23c28,815$6,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,622.6720352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings22c26,030$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.6651350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Clippers78c25,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.9524650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings1c22,950$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.021,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Kings23c22,222$5,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.0621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings22c21,005$4,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,659.662,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c20,781$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.018820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Kings0c18,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.542640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Kings15c16,409$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers77c16,163$12,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.782,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Clippers78c15,303$11,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.9719560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Clippers78c15,045$11,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.8717162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Clippers78c15,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Clippers78c14,600$11,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,21219351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings0c14,546$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings0c14,410$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.997211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Kings24c13,087$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,077.173844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Clippers78c13,014$10,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.113455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Kings23c12,500$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.998827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Clippers78c12,000$9,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers77c11,793$9,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers78c11,649$9,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.873,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b3b…a84abacked Kings9c11,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Clippers78c10,875$8,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.57468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings21c10,210$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.84,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Kings22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kings3c10,000$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25665218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Kings1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Clippers77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers78c9,177$7,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.931,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Kings23c7,508$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7005337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Clippers78c7,500$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65014945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Kings21c7,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57511244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae24…07c2backed Kings20c7,300$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4602524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings18c6,967$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.451,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Clippers78c6,513$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.959552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Kings22c6,400$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.991921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Kings20c6,339$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.7544654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings15c6,011$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Clippers73c5,843$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.1139349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings21c5,791$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.8830947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings7c5,650$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings0c5,601$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Clippers77c5,500$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.9647949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…f288backed Kings2c5,379$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.37425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers79c5,313$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.542,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings22c5,050$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1111,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Clippers78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Clippers75c5,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc60d…8887backed Kings22c4,954$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.925223.1%12 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Kings22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings18c4,471$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.731,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eef…266fbacked Kings23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc49…ffd6backed Kings22c4,192$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.153250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Kings21c4,169$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.420454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Kings1c4,063$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec32…1634backed Clippers77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Kings22c4,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…b7a6backed Clippers79c3,800$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7c…f491backed Kings22c3,600$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Clippers78c3,488$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Clippers78c3,457$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5427747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings22c3,307$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.4321538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings0c3,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.857502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings22c3,182$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Clippers77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Clippers77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Clippers78c3,000$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34bc…3572backed Kings21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings22c2,800$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.362,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Kings22c2,600$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57240035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings23c2,600$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Clippers77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.47245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Clippers78c2,548$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5127758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings5c2,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.91,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d13…d7b4backed Kings21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ac2…ca2ebacked Clippers77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9cb8backed Kings21c2,476$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Clippers78c2,462$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.1248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings21c2,400$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Kings11c2,380$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.78342.2%35 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…b71fbacked Kings22c2,364$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010959.6%65 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.