TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under52c59,570$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,00016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c37,897$18,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,706.22,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c22,148$10,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,516.711,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c13,363$6,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,393.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over52c4,342$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.2848448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,879$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.834,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under48c2,037$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over13c1,508$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.6820837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,047$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c631$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.8136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c588.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.92,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Over48c504.22$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1911060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over9c500.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.2252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over10c498.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.7167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over9c476$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.162,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6210351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Over52c365.37$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.382352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under49c342.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16833447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c286.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under49c222$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.789446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c181.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.242,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over49c181$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under49c171$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.797162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2734050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…3b8ebacked Over49c159.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c136.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.513,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Over49c129$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.796952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over49c121.25$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8450648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over49c119.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.581,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over53c118.87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8749852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0425846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60aa…fab0backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over49c86.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bf…22d0backed Over52c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.617447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under49c59.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7593849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Over49c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.586160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6910058%58 W · 42 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under49c57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.936058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Under51c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.464755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Under51c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.465164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Over51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.542860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over51c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.564047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c40.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465251.9%27 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Under51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.385552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.625060%30 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Under51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.153652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Under51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.853435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Over51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.172867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.172152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed Over56c32.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.398741.4%36 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Under51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.815056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick47cpaid+108%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.791723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Over51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.742240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under47c25.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0321056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under52c25.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.257441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under52c23.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4230244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over51c22.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9128751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Over51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.783658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Under51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.224850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over49c20.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over49c20.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.