NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0662232fdd7f0dcccb5786bdee140d3aa6068754c220941862b537006516992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Clippers | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Clippers | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Clippers | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Clippers | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Clippers | 44c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Clippers | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Clippers | 44c | 86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Clippers | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Clippers | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Clippers | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Clippers | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Clippers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 45c | 72.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Clippers | 44c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Clippers | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Clippers | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Kings | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Clippers | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Kings | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Kings | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Kings | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Kings | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Kings | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Kings | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Kings | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Kings | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Kings | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Kings | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Kings | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Clippers | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Clippers | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Clippers | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Kings | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Clippers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Kings | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Clippers | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Kings | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Kings | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Kings | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Kings | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Kings | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Kings | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Kings | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Kings | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Kings | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Kings | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Kings | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Kings | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Kings | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Kings | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Kings | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Kings | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Kings | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Kings | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Kings | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Kings | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Kings | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Kings | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Kings | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.