TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Kings50c67,253$33,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,529.325248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Clippers52c60,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.999263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Kings48c24,660$11,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,836.9840350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Kings48c13,786$6,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,617.282755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked Clippers52c13,786$7,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,617.112050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Clippers50c13,194$6,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5972,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers51c12,710$6,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,275.232,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Clippers50c11,776$5,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,88829748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Kings48c9,721$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.0736351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Kings48c7,435$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.9129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Clippers52c5,973$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.947437.8%28 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings48c5,909$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Kings48c4,519$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16933447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Kings48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2f…aa56backed Kings48c3,950$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8962152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Clippers52c3,950$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8962665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Kings48c3,800$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8242646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06d…7c03backed Clippers52c3,800$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8242070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Kings49c3,220$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.735750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Clippers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings50c2,635$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.31,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers51c2,600$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2742,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers51c2,365$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Clippers52c2,343$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.6441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Kings48c2,219$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06525452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Kings49c1,605$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.2147856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Clippers50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Kings49c1,469$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Kings49c1,260$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.327735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Kings51c1,092$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55723250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Clippers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Kings48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48019351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Clippers49c992.16$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5067745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90db…3c17backed Clippers52c947.67$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers50c895.25$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Kings48c859.79$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.713041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings41c804$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Kings50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Clippers53c576.75$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7538649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings48c547.47$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Clippers61c521$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.192744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers51c461$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.891,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Kings49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Kings50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Clippers56c400$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1727161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Clippers53c378.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4518343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Kings47c370.23$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.011546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Clippers51c360.78$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.788344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Kings50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17515052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Clippers50c300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Kings49c292.06$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1111946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings49c289.75$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.513,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Clippers51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.122953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ae…41afbacked Kings48c235.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Kings48c230$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.417747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Clippers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…629fbacked Clippers51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Kings49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9824454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Clippers52c199.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9917041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Clippers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0828046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kings48c168.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Clippers52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.813946.8%65 W · 74 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Clippers51c147$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.034141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Clippers52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6223948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1da…bdc2backed Kings49c134$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kings50c132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Kings49c128.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.458351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Kings49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Clippers52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3882440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Clippers52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.577439.2%29 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Kings48c109$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.327162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4850653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Clippers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4774547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Clippers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a0…67cabacked Kings49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef63…52e6backed Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kings43c96.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.021,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Kings49c95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.558852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Clippers51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.246943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbedf…8817backed Kings50c81.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers53c76.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.082,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Clippers52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Clippers52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3137755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Kings49c65.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0948451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Clippers52c57.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.489451.1%48 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Kings48c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.368050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Kings49c53.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec4…b9febacked Clippers56c53.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.111136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Kings51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e8…cff9backed Kings50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d45…55e9backed Kings50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10fc…aa69backed Clippers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Clippers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.242146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Clippers51c47.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.