NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2cd4fb87af1d0d628174582844f64443e32b52af2e62a2a9ed87cb7aecdcba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 52c | 4,445$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.45 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Under | 57c | 4,432$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.84 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 3,911$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 53c | 2,130$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.1 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 2,062$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 1,141$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 881$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 662.18$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 54c | 578.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.3 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 198.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 44c | 197.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 47c | 161.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a1…c0babacked Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 98.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 84.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…ae27backed Over | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Over | 51c | 67.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…35b6backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Under | 58c | 17.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.