NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158114ed18a5161c7670d0be1ab0aae4d8540f64df6a4defff046c52ed8d36d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 50c | 4,679$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.32 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce3…9edbbacked Over | 45c | 3,129$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 2,789$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.09 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 55c | 2,224$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.92 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 2,223$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.88 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 1,325$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 49c | 1,264$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.37 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 55c | 1,035$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.91 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 798.8$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 746.43$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 49c | 730.61$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…da9cbacked Over | 50c | 400.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 318.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 299$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 252$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 47c | 238.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 52c | 211.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 46c | 156$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 54c | 150.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…166fbacked Under | 54c | 129$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 52c | 100.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce6…4f84backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Over | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 50c | 96.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 95.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 60c | 90.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 86.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Over | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Over | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…5c68backed Over | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 47.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Under | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Under | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Under | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 26.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 44c | 25.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…a162backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…ace1backed Over | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.