NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f82e21bf2bfa425d83ffdbb8da41454e23cacd6525d65bdf146f71138b9c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 53c | 3,555$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.85 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Under | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 28c | 1,778$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.05 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 1,122$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 914.46$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 691.71$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 582$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.54 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 57c | 559$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.37 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 412.02$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 39c | 256.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 42c | 248$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 44c | 227.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Over | 48c | 197.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 27c | 169$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…dc57backed Over | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 47c | 163$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 61c | 162.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 62c | 142.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Over | 49c | 128.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 44c | 114.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 41c | 108$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Over | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…f409backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 27c | 85.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 56c | 84.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 38c | 75.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 61.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 35c | 60.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Over | 47c | 57.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 59c | 44.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 64c | 38.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Under | 56c | 29.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Under | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 57c | 22.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Under | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Under | 59c | 17.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.