NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb325949755fb0c4d224901712dc358e3faa981a203b4509ce82f3a4c8369d779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x699c…3600backed Clippers | 50c | 248$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Clippers | 50c | 209$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Clippers | 50c | 189$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Clippers | 49c | 163$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Clippers | 49c | 138$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Clippers | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Clippers | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Clippers | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Clippers | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Clippers | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Clippers | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Kings | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Clippers | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Clippers | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Clippers | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Kings | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Kings | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Kings | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Clippers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Clippers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Kings | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Kings | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Kings | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Kings | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Kings | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Kings | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Clippers | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Kings | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Kings | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Kings | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Clippers | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Clippers | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Kings | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Kings | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Kings | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Kings | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Kings | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Kings | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Kings | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Kings | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Kings | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Kings | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Kings | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Kings | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Kings | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Clippers | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Kings | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Kings | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Kings | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Kings | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Kings | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Kings | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Kings | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Kings | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Kings | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Kings | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Kings | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Kings | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Kings | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Kings | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Clippers | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Kings | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Kings | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.