NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7f163bb337c8536c816e31d3d53bd91ed3ece1feed436234036806a5e43c08d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Kings, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 79c | 282.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Clippers | 70c | 191$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Kings | 29c | 165$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Clippers | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Kings | 29c | 149$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Clippers | 70c | 146$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Kings | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Kings | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Clippers | 70c | 117$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Kings | 29c | 107$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Clippers | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Kings | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Clippers | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Kings | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Kings | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Kings | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Kings | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Kings | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Clippers | 75c | 56.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Clippers | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Kings | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Kings | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Kings | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Clippers | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Kings | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Clippers | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Kings | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -9.8wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Clippers | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Kings | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Kings | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Kings | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Kings | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Clippers | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Kings | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Clippers | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Clippers | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Clippers | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Clippers | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Clippers | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Clippers | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Clippers | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Clippers | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Clippers | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Clippers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Clippers | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Clippers | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Clippers | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Clippers | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Clippers | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Clippers | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Clippers | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Clippers | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Clippers | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Clippers | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Clippers | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Clippers | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.