NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x100b31d6735dec5a8c56064310a42138d115b4653f237cca991a51f977e32ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Kings | 46c | 4,863$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.92 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clippers | 54c | 1,640$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.48 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 55c | 1,638$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Kings | 46c | 1,360$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Clippers | 54c | 1,360$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Kings | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Clippers | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 76c | 209.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Kings | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Clippers | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked Kings | 46c | 127$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Kings | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Clippers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kings | 41c | 89.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…a901backed Clippers | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Kings | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Clippers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Clippers | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 54c | 44.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Clippers | 55c | 42.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Clippers | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Kings | 45c | 40.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Clippers | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 46c | 33.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Clippers | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 60c | 30.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…ee46backed Clippers | 55c | 26.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Clippers | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Clippers | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Clippers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Clippers | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Clippers | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.