NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9cecfd20891bab2896c4df1ca2e2e0d50a8833b9f9ff9b943fbfb4731ae5de2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,191 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Over	1c	1,935$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	5c	499.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over	41c	243$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.63	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+10.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Over	41c	216$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.47	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+9.6wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Over	41c	212$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.68	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Over	41c	195$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.95	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Over	41c	185$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.85	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over	41c	180$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Over	41c	124$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.84	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over	41c	118$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Over	41c	108$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.28	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Over	41c	107$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.87	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Over	41c	106$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over	41c	106$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over	41c	102$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Under	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over	41c	95$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Over	41c	78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Under	58c	75$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Under	59c	71$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.11	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Over	41c	67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.47	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Over	41c	62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Over	41c	59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Under	59c	58$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.78	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Over	41c	57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.37	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Under	59c	56$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.15	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Under	59c	55$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Under	59c	51$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Under	59c	49$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.09	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under	56c	48$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Under	59c	47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Under	59c	47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Under	59c	47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.37	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Under	59c	47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-9.8wins	-0.35per pick	49cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Under	59c	45$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.45	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Under	59c	42$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Under	58c	42$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.53	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Under	59c	42$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.28per pick	52cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Under	59c	41$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Under	59c	41$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Under	59c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Under	59c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Under	59c	39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.99	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Under	59c	38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Under	59c	38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Under	59c	38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Under	59c	38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Under	59c	37$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.17	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Over	41c	36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Under	59c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.76	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Under	59c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Under	59c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Under	59c	33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Under	59c	32$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.12	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked Under	59c	31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.71	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Under	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Under	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67de…1d9bbacked Under	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Under	59c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.89	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Under	59c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.89	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Under	59c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.89	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Under	59c	28$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Under	59c	28$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Under	59c	28$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Under	59c	27$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.07	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Under	59c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Under	59c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under	59c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Under	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Under	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Under	58c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Under	59c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.71	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Under	59c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.61	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Under	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.0wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Under	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Under	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Under	59c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.79	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Under	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5this page
1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event