NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8bc202b4f21b017fa021806a586a3f875c79efe857a4a92ebe47769e913c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 18,502$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,601.91 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 9,236$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Under | 62c | 5,430$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.99 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 5,207$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 4,011$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 38c | 3,366$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.75 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 3,308$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.31 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 3,195$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.35 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 2,707$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.49 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 48c | 2,229$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.17 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 48c | 1,330$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.6 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,100$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.75 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,011$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Over | 46c | 571.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.74 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 489.04$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 365.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 46c | 254$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 58c | 192$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 53c | 142.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 47c | 126.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…b1e4backed Under | 52c | 106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Over | 47c | 103.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 78.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 78.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 75.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 57.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 19.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.