TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x699c…3600backed Over44c241$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.048052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Over44c227$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.886541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785147.1%24 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Over45c193$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.855651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c161.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under53c148$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.567361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under53c121$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.876855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under52c119$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.127353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Over44c117$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.483342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Over44c107$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.089050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Over44c105$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.26454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under53c104$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.888151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under53c103$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.418852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Over44c98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.123658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Under56c91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.044652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over44c91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.049048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over44c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.47448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over44c79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7610143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over45c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.659446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Over44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Under56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.072759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over44c65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.68644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Over44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Over44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Under56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.763053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Under56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.323863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Under56c52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.883354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Over47c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.563650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Under56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.684062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Under56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.682458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Under56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.685056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Under55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.563762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Under56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.243551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Over47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.154057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Over48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Under56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.361936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Under56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.363953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Over45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Over47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Under56c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Over47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.274242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.273857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Under56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Under55c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.453764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Under56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.162748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Under56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.162157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.862433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.242450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Under56c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.722857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Over44c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.283056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.763348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed Under56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.422437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Over45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.26053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.752766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Under56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.984459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Over47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Under56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.523336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Under56c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.084344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.043441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.042835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Under56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.644951%25 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Under56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.645448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f71…b80ebacked Over48c29.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Under56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.883959%23 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Under55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.033751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.222540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.223860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Under55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Under56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Under56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.563964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Under56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Under55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Under56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Under56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Under56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.