NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5513c64420e423633c0d28a10522196ec439f3e663d4fa4e8ce851cec44a42c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 47c | 6,294$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Kings | 53c | 2,452$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.31 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 47c | 1,662$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.34 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Kings | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 2c | 1,172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Kings | 53c | 916.98$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Kings | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Clippers | 46c | 500.14$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Clippers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Kings | 49c | 392.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…41afbacked Kings | 52c | 373.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Kings | 54c | 368.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 46c | 308.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Kings | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Kings | 49c | 299.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Clippers | 47c | 283$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 46c | 209.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Kings | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…c5eebacked Clippers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Clippers | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kings | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Kings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers | 52c | 182$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Kings | 53c | 152.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings | 52c | 133.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Kings | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Clippers | 47c | 117$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Kings | 54c | 111.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…ad3cbacked Kings | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Clippers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Kings | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Kings | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Kings | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Kings | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 48c | 93.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kings | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kings | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kings | 53c | 76.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Kings | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…8e9dbacked Kings | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Kings | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Kings | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 50c | 50.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Kings | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Kings | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Clippers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Clippers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Kings | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Kings | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Clippers | 46c | 49.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Clippers | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Clippers | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kings | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…29eabacked Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Clippers | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Kings | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Kings | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Kings | 54c | 28.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Clippers | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Kings | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Clippers | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kings | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Kings | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Kings | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Kings vs. ClippersClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.