TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f6c…ac71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.99
Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.61
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.48
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.37
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$27.93
Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.22
Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$16.8
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 124.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.79
Bucks vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.76
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.36
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTSA Roadrunners vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.52
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-5.5)backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.45
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.6
Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-10.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.28
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojansbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.88
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.7
Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$15.68
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.34
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-4.5)backed UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-2.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-7.5)backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Tulane Green Wave vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18.9
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.42
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$7.4
Spread: Furman Paladins (-4.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.04
San Francisco Dons vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Pacific Tigers vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.23
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Red Wings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.56
Stars vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.02
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.76
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.64
Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$28.5
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Capitals vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
DEL: Dresdner Eisloewen vs. Koelner Haiebacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Torpedobacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$10.92
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$26.46
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$19.25
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Bremerhavenbacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$14.58
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$21.96
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys Astanabacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.96
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$15.66
Will Derby County FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$8.88
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$20.64
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.87
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.91
Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.85
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.8
Preston North End FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4.2
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.48
Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+114.3%+$14.4
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$9.99
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.98
Will Alanyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.5
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Vejle BK vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.1%+$15.23
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$20.5
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: 1H Moneylinebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+83%+$17.24
O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.16
Spread: Western Kentucky (-1.5)backed Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$21.28
Spread: Utah State (-2.5)backed Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.56
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: 1H Moneylinebacked Louisiana-Lafayette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+150%+$15.6
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.34
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.52
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.48
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.1
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.85
Olimpia Milano vs. Partizanbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.08
BC Dubai vs. Olimpia Milanobacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.82
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.96
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.32
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.06
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.