La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb264d5168c52c3d2fe62fd02370ed0240585f902826a1fcd6d730bfcb6cb466c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Mirandésof Real Racing Club, CD Mirandés
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Mirandés | 68c | 988.81$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Real Racing Club | 26c | 757.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CD Mirandés | 66c | 724.45$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Real Racing Club | 42c | 600.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed CD Mirandés | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Mirandés | 65c | 146.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Real Racing Club | 36c | 139.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Real Racing Club | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Real Racing Club | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Racing Club | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Real Racing Club | 28c | 88.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Real Racing Club | 38c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Real Racing Club | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Real Racing Club | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Real Racing Club | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed CD Mirandés | 74c | 59.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Real Racing Club | 35c | 59.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Real Racing Club | 31c | 57.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Mirandés | 63c | 47.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed CD Mirandés | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed CD Mirandés | 67c | 28.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed CD Mirandés | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed CD Mirandés | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked CD Mirandés | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed CD Mirandés | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked CD Mirandés | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed CD Mirandés | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed CD Mirandés | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked CD Mirandés | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked CD Mirandés | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.