La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a2d5b5d8312e151bc6d901a52b34722e30a17473d27087542e196a3111c57f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 52c | 963.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 636.41$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.42 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 544.66$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 412.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 353.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 55c | 267.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes | 44c | 160.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked No | 58c | 142.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 130.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 41c | 122.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 46c | 113$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…d2a8backed Yes | 54c | 49.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed No | 46c | 37.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed No | 46c | 37.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 55c | 36.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked No | 46c | 34.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 47c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)CD Mirandés won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.