La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668b0f9e433efa9d5538f472bab8e3e4193f878527033808d60e607913ca79b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,938$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 49c | 799.99$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 592.51$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 62c | 504.7$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 396.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 288.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 54c | 274.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 174.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 78c | 134.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Over | 78c | 109.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 72c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Under | 22c | 97.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…a1dabacked Over | 68c | 86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 59c | 85.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 55c | 82.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…bc79backed Under | 26c | 81.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +191.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 20c | 77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 52c | 55.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 45c | 55.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 53.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 46.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 80c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…61efbacked Under | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Over | 77c | 15.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 77c | 13.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)CD Mirandés won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.