TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3303…b5e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Boxing at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.73
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$390
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$73.75
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+286.7%+$237.47
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$160
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$157.33
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$47.96
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.87
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,409Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25.2%+$354.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,024.72
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$616
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$244.44
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$48.36
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.3%+$221.5
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$620
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$249.01
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+150%+$600
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$580.21
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.98
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.61
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.53
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,089Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+62.6%+$1,935.2
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+124.6%+$554.82
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+28%+$165.04
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.65
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$108.14
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,091.4
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$682.79
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,728.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZennIT vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phasebacked GnG Amazigh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+455.6%+$227.8
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.8%+$57.16
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$225.92
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 2 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+50.4%+$134
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$243.63
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$302.53
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$198
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$296.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+44.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$217.5
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+488.2%+$227.42
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,019.32
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+41%+$125
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,149.19
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$207.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy guilty of all charges?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$149.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.