TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Under39c5,715$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.383,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over38c5,066$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.541,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under76c3,323$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.0485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over60c2,394$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.847266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7b50…71c9backed Under39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.971050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c1,879$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Over70c1,685$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under40c1,491$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over54c1,469$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under33c1,461$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.8722836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under44c1,346$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.7658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c852.39$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.291,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over60c835.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under26c827.27$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.942,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over53c805.01$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.113050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3925945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Under49c618.84$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1541550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c610.46$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under40c587$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.161,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c554.73$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.883,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7162…123abacked Over73c548.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over55c535.5$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.223,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under42c525$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30520147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ac…b57fbacked Over62c511.82$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Under43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.999747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c475.88$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over36c439.19$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c434.8$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over55c410$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Over11c386.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.239267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c385$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over61c384$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c372$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.282,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Over62c350$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+44.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over63c344$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over56c339.41$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.569049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c321.58$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c316.89$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Over76c300$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2274445.5%20 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c288.71$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.15,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c271.46$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under80c250.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8811347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf68…6b13backed Over6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under40c227.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.362,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over51c208.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2563447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under51c206.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.514553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over49c197.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Over52c192.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over78c158.79$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Under44c155.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.383063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c151.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under59c136.43$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.912,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over53c134.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6418957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under29c126.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1439047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under50c118.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3220949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over42c118.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.111,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Over50c110.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.273839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over66c105$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.817243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4713154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under41c99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under47c96.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1124428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over52c88.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under27c85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over59c84.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x527f…9be8backed Over57c83.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over61c81.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa780…dd87backed Over62c81.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over55c69.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2218150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under38c69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5930840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Under40c66.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.194753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over51c63.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.533653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over27c59.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8752242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a5…997dbacked Over59c57.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Under51c56.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.462352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.563353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.511447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Under67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58320.5%17 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over61c49.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…e50cbacked Under40c49.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.022774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.441,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over57c48.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7357657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c48.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.822,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c45.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…e14ebacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x440f…6c5abacked Over56c41.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a48…37b3backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf19…976bbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under29c36.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under37c36.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9930616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Under41c36.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4311761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd793…49b0backed Over55c34.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.182766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.