TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Lakersof Mavericks, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,112 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Mavericks38c1,513$571 inLost-$571.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers71c447.5$316 inWon+$131.81,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Lakers63c399.98$252 inWon+$147.994156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks23c244.5$57 inLost-$56.681,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers62c200$124 inWon+$763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Lakers62c160$99 inWon+$60.843246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers66c144.15$95 inWon+$49.0166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Mavericks19c131.58$25 inLost-$2533730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Mavericks15c128.73$19 inLost-$19.3118957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers62c124.69$77 inWon+$47.335,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Mavericks46c86.96$40 inLost-$408744.8%39 W · 48 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba83…4f66backed Lakers66c38.44$25 inWon+$13.073265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Lakers63c37.27$23 inWon+$13.7965649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.