TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under43c49,126$21,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,880.9254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c27,188$15,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,015.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over55c22,889$12,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,550.617266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Over57c17,460$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006838.2%26 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over57c8,466$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.3751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c8,452$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c8,019$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under50c6,666$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,33345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacad…8b87backed Under51c6,298$3,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6016…706ebacked Under51c6,296$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under44c5,900$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over53c5,116$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.381,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Over50c4,285$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa4…1ffebacked Over58c3,550$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c2…ac9ebacked Under41c3,550$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd26c…724bbacked Over49c3,200$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a8…0baabacked Over49c3,100$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e1…ccc9backed Over49c2,900$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd558…0e85backed Over49c2,800$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c2,517$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c2,467$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Under50c2,286$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.941566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2192…dc48backed Over49c2,214$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under52c2,105$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under45c2,021$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.8122643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Under50c1,999$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb79…5abebacked Under51c1,808$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c1,750$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c1,416$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under52c1,388$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.4722055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9139…0b63backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under46c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9829149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c989.64$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under46c915.1$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under33c857.11$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over59c827$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c721.31$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c687.64$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c591.19$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.152,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9216440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c563$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under47c424$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7217644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under47c407$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c400.08$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.811,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over54c303.67$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9829055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over59c300.71$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ee…2728backed Over49c298.02$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae71…5d2cbacked Over49c296.3$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over59c241.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under51c235.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.334553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8955…3402backed Under51c228$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7720552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c212.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.152,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over54c185.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b94…44b1backed Under51c178$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under49c163.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1520149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Under47c147.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.318041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c141.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.952,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under50c114.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.492,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Under48c109.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+63.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Over54c99.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.927152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over55c98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.91,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under45c90.01$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2424330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over39c75.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.823,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under46c71.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.331,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over59c69.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7418957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c63.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over59c63.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.391,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.245251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b66…87cebacked Over50c58.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.714751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over56c53.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5740849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.088749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4df…6a6fbacked Over54c47.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over56c41.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under55c40.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0421553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under68c39.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under45c38.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under49c36.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over55c36.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.925933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa58c…3a5cbacked Under46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.362544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under38c32.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5539047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf518…af6bbacked Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffa4…162bbacked Under40c27.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.521040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…9780backed Over56c26.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over55c23.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under45c23.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7759141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c23.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66a2…e49cbacked Under48c22.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over59c21.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.658851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd2…a7aebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3692…2136backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.