NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bdad275ab9f0116a37bf56c432189231be707b7d47d709954587aabbe66a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $552,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 45c | 177,640$80,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,863.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 54c | 129,520$69,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,469.9 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks | 56c | 88,232$49,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,409.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…de7ebacked Lakers | 44c | 40,596$17,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,733.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 50c | 38,685$19,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,221.25 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 45c | 31,516$14,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,178.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Mavericks | 55c | 27,992$15,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,395.51 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lakers | 49c | 23,635$11,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,087.35 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…bb9abacked Mavericks | 56c | 22,668$12,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,693.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 45c | 20,091$9,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,981.6 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Mavericks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.98 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Lakers | 44c | 18,495$8,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,357.07 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…a294backed Mavericks | 56c | 17,929$10,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,040.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 45c | 14,400$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Mavericks | 57c | 14,007$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 50c | 13,634$6,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.11 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Lakers | 50c | 11,902$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,970.95 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Lakers | 49c | 11,078$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.92 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Mavericks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Lakers | 49c | 8,379$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.46 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers | 51c | 8,063$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.75 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 50c | 7,266$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.07 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 49c | 7,092$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.84 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks | 55c | 6,950$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.2 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Lakers | 45c | 6,853$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.93 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks | 57c | 6,652$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lakers | 45c | 6,450$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.5 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks | 51c | 6,292$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.91 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Mavericks | 58c | 6,141$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Lakers | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.88 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Lakers | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Mavericks | 57c | 5,222$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Lakers | 50c | 4,828$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Lakers | 45c | 4,651$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Lakers | 49c | 4,163$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.79 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 42c | 4,002$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,916$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 43c | 3,410$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,177$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 55c | 3,116$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.56 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 45c | 2,965$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,760$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.81 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Mavericks | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,578$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.11 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,520$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.08 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Lakers | 45c | 2,343$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 43c | 2,320$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Lakers | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.45 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Lakers | 47c | 2,255$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.65 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 42c | 2,236$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.64 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 43c | 2,220$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Lakers | 45c | 2,022$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.22 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lakers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…71c9backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mavericks | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Lakers | 52c | 1,972$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.46 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Lakers | 44c | 1,876$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.36 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mavericks | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Mavericks | 57c | 1,765$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.33 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,710$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Mavericks | 56c | 1,697$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.15 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,606$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.61 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Lakers | 50c | 1,545$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 44c | 1,470$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,403$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.04 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Lakers | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Lakers | 44c | 1,263$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Lakers | 50c | 1,259$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Mavericks | 56c | 1,200$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Lakers | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,072$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.45 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers | 52c | 932.84$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.76 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Lakers | 44c | 917$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Lakers | 52c | 855.98$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.98 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Mavericks | 56c | 848.93$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Lakers | 47c | 732.39$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.94 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Lakers | 52c | 700$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Mavericks | 4c | 666.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed Mavericks | 53c | 662.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Lakers | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Mavericks | 56c | 576.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…772ebacked Mavericks | 57c | 526.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 50c | 517.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Lakers | 43c | 440$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers | 44c | 439.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.61 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Lakers | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…e2b9backed Mavericks | 53c | 381.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…a28dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 377.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Caleb Martin: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. LakersLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.