NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8727391f60a800217c379f2807664c3a8fd845ff4afcdf130ff4fe3e49cde1df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 53c | 55,694$29,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,271.96 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 25,203$13,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,947.42 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 13,935$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 51c | 11,860$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.42 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 47c | 10,867$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.6 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 8,440$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 8,216$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.89 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 7,955$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.76 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,054$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 6,280$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 75c | 5,544$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.43 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3402backed Over | 46c | 5,488$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 55c | 5,339$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 5,107$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 4,963$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.35 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 4,209$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.15 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 50c | 3,305$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.53 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…5abebacked Under | 54c | 2,789$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 2,668$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.09 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 49c | 2,660$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.4 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2192…dc48backed Under | 54c | 2,512$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 2,408$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.74 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 2,042$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.34 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 55c | 1,964$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 1,904$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.05 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,813$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,600$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 1,334$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 19c | 1,260$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 52c | 1,107$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.61 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.37 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 25c | 842.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 799.71$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 16c | 662.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 615.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.46 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Under | 51c | 566.56$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.28 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…b57fbacked Over | 55c | 560$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 36c | 531$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 470.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 460.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 68c | 438.42$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 48c | 427.47$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 27c | 420.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 360$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 321.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 55c | 320$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 237.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Under | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 201.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 199.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 196.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 44c | 190.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…44b1backed Under | 54c | 187$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Over | 54c | 185.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Over | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 39c | 171$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Under | 51c | 166.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 60c | 166.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…b901backed Over | 47c | 161.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 152.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…655ebacked Under | 46c | 142.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 139.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 48c | 131.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 130.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Over | 55c | 128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Over | 56c | 125.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 48c | 96.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 52c | 94.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Caleb Martin: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. LakersLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.