TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c123,226$61,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,429.0454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Under53c37,624$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,624.444355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c34,920$17,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,280.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over49c21,115$10,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,269.0324045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over50c18,203$9,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,091.5611351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over49c17,958$8,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,853.544358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under52c16,656$8,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,015.817249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over48c15,467$7,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,424.340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,35051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over50c11,671$5,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,835.433447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Over50c11,660$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8305154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c10,139$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.451,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c9,673$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,691.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c9,227$4,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,613.4170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c8,910$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45526648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over50c5,580$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,79038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over50c3,988$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99416254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c3,961$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c3,465$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.372,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over50c2,860$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c2,419$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Under51c2,171$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.591947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0820147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over50c1,888$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.0710048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c1,677$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under50c1,675$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over51c1,476$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.641,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,377$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.272,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c1,190$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.13,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over49c1,022$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.7818345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c823.33$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1084…21f2backed Under65c768.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.76825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.244456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c532.39$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under51c488$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1254853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under44c459.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.064553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c349.01$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb42d…bd2dbacked Under54c333.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9460…97d5backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over50c296.7$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3516347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under29c205.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Under51c199.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8761…c1ebbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under32c164.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.617042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x438b…fb23backed Under52c158.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8810426%27 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over78c120$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9445251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5254…372dbacked Over50c114.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c112.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Under50c104.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.423764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4949351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Over53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.43046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c97.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6437665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over16c90.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4418835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c81.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9921357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad3e…2c44backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e9…d630backed Over50c79.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27e1…704bbacked Over77c72.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f8…280cbacked Over16c69.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over47c63.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over49c58.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.731,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under43c55.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7838347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over47c50.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6820352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under52c48.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1415245.4%69 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over54c46.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a8…07f7backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c40.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.642,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.226549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over30c38.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Under52c36.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under32c35.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.416052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under49c33.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over48c30.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under64c26.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.518957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c22.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.