TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f8…280c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.44
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.62
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$416
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.93
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$357.75
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$543.92
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.84
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.75
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78.66
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.56
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$58.39
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$187
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$208.35
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.59
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.59
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$58.3
Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$111.35
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54.87
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$419.61
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.9
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Uganda vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$127.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+64.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+83.5%+$182
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+27.5%+$38.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$37.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)backed Minnesota United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.