La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bca6bc3f3ce0b9b405e85ce21a99f73b2f756fd345e937b9ada8d68a2568187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 21,261$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 72c | 6,975$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.31 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 65c | 6,589$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 59c | 5,048$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 4,209$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.78 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 3,484$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.75 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 78c | 3,313$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 2,040$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.63 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 1,583$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.38 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 64c | 1,528$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 57c | 1,439$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 71c | 1,415$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.92 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 33c | 1,370$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.6 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 28c | 1,010$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 57c | 877.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…f593backed Under | 37c | 815.08$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 68c | 743.9$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.14 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Under | 27c | 649.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…4b14backed Over | 58c | 647.07$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 32c | 614.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 76c | 603.82$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 73c | 500$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 33c | 499.83$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 64c | 469.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 56c | 445.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 410.81$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.77 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 72c | 390.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 72c | 354.17$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 351.79$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.22 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Over | 58c | 346.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 293.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 56c | 237.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 61c | 215.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 75c | 212.02$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 31c | 206.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Under | 32c | 205.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 56c | 204.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…ded7backed Over | 69c | 203.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 76c | 202.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 200.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 50c | 198.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 67c | 197.63$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 79c | 188.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Under | 39c | 180.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 75c | 179.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Over | 56c | 177.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 74c | 169.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 32c | 154.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…acacbacked Over | 55c | 147.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 60c | 143$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 47c | 139.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 30c | 138.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 138.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Over | 53c | 137.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 66c | 131.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 30c | 121.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78a…51fabacked Over | 72c | 116.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 113.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 62c | 107$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 47c | 96.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Over | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 42c | 88.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 75c | 81.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 72c | 80.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 30c | 76.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…9555backed Under | 36c | 75.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.