La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ba468bb357584086277a0b5be27a6fe0663ef4c5831e88596eb5c33b5dcf11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 8,262$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 49c | 7,140$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Over | 46c | 6,512$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 5,902$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.68 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 4,439$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.5 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 4,007$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.1 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 2,794$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.16 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Over | 49c | 2,690$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 44c | 2,408$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…3bffbacked Under | 51c | 1,433$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 1,392$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.1 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…e592backed Over | 1c | 1,354$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 66c | 1,224$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 57c | 990.48$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9bb8backed Over | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 49c | 927.8$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 903.03$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.14 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Under | 50c | 887.14$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 59c | 877.09$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Over | 50c | 854$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 50c | 849.88$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 49c | 795.92$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Over | 39c | 730.29$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 45c | 717.44$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.52 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 42c | 588.3$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 56c | 509.67$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 501.62$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 495.18$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Under | 58c | 484.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 44c | 452.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Over | 50c | 431.82$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 7c | 423.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.4 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 400.8$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 382.1$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 47c | 347.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…07e4backed Over | 47c | 310$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Over | 30c | 276.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 242.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 50c | 240.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 46c | 206.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…df2ebacked Under | 50c | 202.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 54c | 201$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 58c | 187$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 66c | 185.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…38a9backed Over | 49c | 180.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…2ff5backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 53c | 157$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 156.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Over | 49c | 122.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 114.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 53c | 112.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 110.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Over | 48c | 107.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…dbbfbacked Over | 50c | 102.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.