TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe56d…2b65backed Yes56c6,214$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c4,076$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.553,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes57c3,187$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.534242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c1,894$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.384,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c1,026$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.741,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed No49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No43c998.15$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.29947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes50c984.02$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.517241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed No55c818.31$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No50c691$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.53548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No54c581.67$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.683339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked No57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes56c491.07$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.071770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+53.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No50c448.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1631745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8e…1267backed No46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked No45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No46c353.8$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6517455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked No58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Yes54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c276.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.372,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899f…f8a2backed Yes45c271.66$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa6…7119backed Yes54c235.68$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No45c233.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.241,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed No47c231.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.021957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed No56c220$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.23060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a5…b820backed No57c218.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked No47c213.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a0…610ebacked Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No46c195.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9934252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c162$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.58728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes55c143.64$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.642343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes56c140.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.653164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c120.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes51c117.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.83844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4422553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb227…127cbacked No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb44…2fafbacked Yes49c99.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No46c92.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8528446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed No45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked No48c83.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes54c74.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5316040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No45c60.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.386847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No45c60.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b2d…3c19backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…8dccbacked No51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84e0…69edbacked No47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a76…5c05backed No47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes57c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.064468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Yes57c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b15…db20backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0255…7a19backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed No52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce2…1312backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac3…c523backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.718075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbe50…281cbacked Yes57c35.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf2…eefabacked No47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked No47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x497e…1161backed No45c31.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Yes47c30.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.922540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked No42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked No47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes55c29.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.149354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed No53c28.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.277844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1320947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…c235backed No47c23.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395c…4415backed Yes56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.213554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.822142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa9…54b7backed Yes56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0055…3d09backed Yes50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked No48c20.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.212255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.