TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7e3…395c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST5156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$40.84
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.5%+$55.6
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+70.9%+$10.63
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+125.5%+$125.45
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+212.5%+$40.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$30.46
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$17.9
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$31.66
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+188.9%+$105.77
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.56
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$73.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.07
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$16.57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+76%+$45.58
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$19.46
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+120.3%+$34.87
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+191.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.