Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ca8808531009a0031d89c5b6d12439b4dba43a8a0a65b042734d526ef6bc39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 9c | 2,204$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…fdb0backed Under | 43c | 851.16$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 811.85$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.03 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 35c | 584.62$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 65c | 584.62$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 399.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 346.32$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 54c | 326.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 34c | 222$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 58c | 181.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 35c | 155$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…cb07backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 60.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 35c | 59.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 23c | 51.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 20c | 50.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 47.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 61c | 44.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 34.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 66c | 28.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.