Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf594c8dc864f9e4e7be9a14d651223a9b597ddb5a1059d691834893a13ad146a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,417$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 56c | 417.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 65c | 399.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 381$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 34c | 196.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 188.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 60c | 142.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 102.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 73.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 65c | 55.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 66c | 45.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…983cbacked No | 36c | 37.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 63c | 34.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…0eedbacked No | 37c | 34.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed No | 43c | 31.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 50c | 30.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 43c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…d6aabacked Yes | 65c | 22.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 66c | 19.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…e4b0backed Yes | 64c | 18.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…6bf9backed Yes | 65c | 16.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…29d3backed Yes | 65c | 15.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.