Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2a3a6c1728e714f95485ec40c99dcc9b3be0a6ada9713690b969e10b38d38d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 10c | 526.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Under | 80c | 325$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 265.24$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 30c | 236$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 132.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 24c | 119$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 24c | 108$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 76c | 78.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 41.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Under | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Under | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 75c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.