TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$409,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over45c345,274$156,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,245.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under56c85,000$47,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,30016644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c60,814$32,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,904.7462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under55c40,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c37,317$20,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,739.431,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c37,000$20,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,35013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c36,367$19,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,882.511,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over44c33,997$14,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,038.593256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c28,090$15,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,409.9435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under54c9,999$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.965354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under56c3,536$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.351957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6205060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6206060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under55c2,892$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c2,820$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.3129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under55c2,787$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over45c2,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.663542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3759355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c2,386$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over44c1,938$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.77650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c1,927$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.139553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under4c1,387$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.652638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over32c1,071$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.7716242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5604751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under55c943.51$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.939159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under56c864.91$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c820$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c710$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under11c572.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.612352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24317756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24313655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2437163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Under70c441.43$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Under73c400$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c360$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.411556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under67c347.19$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over45c335$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under57c329.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.342857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under54c280$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.29355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over48c276.1$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.572934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under56c256.75$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.781844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Over32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over46c228.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under54c225$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.29158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under56c178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.681030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.84656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.88755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.84759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.88858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under56c166.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9314247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.47655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under56c159$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0415455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under56c149$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.445044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over49c132.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.488856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.89354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.87452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under57c119$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.421957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under56c107.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3323151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c101.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9259348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c92.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.311044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under56c85.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.