Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ec0c7796bf649e311907b293eb72ff69b19972a56275109aa6f407ea118a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 50c | 8,949$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.09 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,773$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 52c | 960.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 54c | 554.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 542.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 486.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 50c | 278.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 50c | 223$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 49c | 160.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 157.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 52c | 152.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked No | 54c | 105.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed No | 44c | 101.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…3503backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed No | 54c | 75.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 51c | 72.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 52c | 68.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 50c | 67.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…fa70backed No | 52c | 54.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed No | 46c | 42.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 49c | 39.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…25c8backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 26.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e94…f7bfbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.