Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9526c8ad92750cf4d8e5aad541f913545d66017947a115d18169ea8bb34f017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 55c | 10,801$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 6,383$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.73 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 3,013$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.61 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.44 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 2,337$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.14 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 43c | 1,572$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.04 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,511$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 1,253$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.55 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 741.12$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.43 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 43c | 499.85$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 44c | 465.13$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 358.92$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 350.37$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 44c | 329.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 304.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 44c | 288.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 44c | 249.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 45c | 244$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 43c | 217.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 56c | 209.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 48c | 206.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…6548backed Over | 45c | 162.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Over | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 150.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 44c | 140.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 134.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 84.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 82.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Over | 57c | 79.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 68.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 44c | 63.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 44c | 55.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 47c | 55.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 42c | 52.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 51.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 44c | 49.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 51c | 41.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 44c | 39.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 45c | 32.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 28.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…867dbacked Over | 44c | 28.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…c235backed Over | 44c | 25.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 44c | 23.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.