TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c9,626$4,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,387.724,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over61c3,333$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.132665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over52c1,987$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.052277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c1,655$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.591,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over62c1,615$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under66c1,514$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.752972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over52c1,400$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.862245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over50c1,327$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.8260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Under40c1,242$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.727553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c5…a9edbacked Over60c1,100$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over54c975$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.590%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under51c752.56$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.843737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under67c707.3$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4128055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over57c699.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over65c618.47$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under61c592.06$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.045759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over63c590$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.711457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c571.4$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over35c566.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over46c564.4$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under60c543.73$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.831435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under66c536.71$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4821957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Over74c511.73$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.16862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over62c500$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over34c471.91$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.812839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under32c437.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.57850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over34c411.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1623152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under69c393.61$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0231745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e4…082fbacked Under70c383.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.95580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c381.2$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.611,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…afb0backed Under42c331.86$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.861540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe9…395abacked Over53c310.44$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over53c272.18$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.381,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over40c255$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3516040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c211.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.262045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Under53c197.73$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c186.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2510441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under66c184.08$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over54c181.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under70c167.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.142665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Over60c162.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under32c156.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.742343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under68c156.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5050449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over59c153.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.471741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…dbb5backed Over73c142.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over43c115.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Over31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1817…5f80backed Over34c108.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Over71c106.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over57c105.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over54c103.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0315443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Over35c102.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6842158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.519130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3419153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under59c96.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.613148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under70c90.14$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.046756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over71c87.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.433754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9497…556fbacked Under61c87.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over69c87.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1811736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over69c87.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under32c86.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7132145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over34c85.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over60c80.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.512044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b5…10aebacked Under31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over63c79.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over34c79.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Over57c75.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under68c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.686237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under58c68.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.744755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over74c67.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4161…c578backed Under53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick69cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Under50c65.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over63c60.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Over73c60.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…4aebbacked Over69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Over52c59.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over60c53.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…c817backed Under77c51.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c48.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2428446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Over61c47.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9510248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Over62c46.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.525843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a4…f12dbacked Under56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.